Sunday, March 13, 2016

Ice Out has occurred - March 13th

This is the earliest ice out date, on our records, over the last 16 years. Wahoooo!!! Let the boating season begin;-) 

Here are the past dates (along with snow totals and El Nino years.) Generally, El Nino years are warmer and drier for us in the Northeast USA. Check out NOAA for a great little video explanation of El Nino and La Nina.
http://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm
(Click on the graph for a larger view)
Of course, the amount of snow and warmth may change due to the strength of the El Nino and the Arctic Oscillation (which is also a huge factor for our location):

Ice Out Date        Snow Totals and El Nino Year Correlations
March 13, 2016 - (50.5" snow) Strongest El Nino Year since 1998
April 18, 2015 - (103" snow) Weak La Nina
April 15, 2014 - (72" snow) Weak La Nina
April 6, 2013 - (83" snow) Weak La Nina
March 20, 2012 - (61" snow) Weak La Nina
April 17, 2011 - (99" snow) Moderate La Nina
March 18, 2010 - (57" snow) El Nino Year (fast phase transition from El Nino to strong La Nina)
April 9, 2009 - (87" snow) Weak La Nina
April 19, 2008 - (127" snow) Moderate La Nina
April 20, 2007 - (74" snow)  Very week El Nino Year (started late/ended early)
March 26, 2006 - (30" snow) Transition to weak La Nina
April 11, 2005 - (100+" snow) Very weak El Nino (ending early)
April 8, 2004 - (30" snow) Neither El Nino nor La Nina
April 16, 2003 - (no data) El Nino Year (Moderate - Central Pacific El Nino with lower effects)
March 31, 2002 - (42" snow) Transitioning from very weak La Nina to neutral
April 22, 2001 - (100+" snow) Very weak La Nina
April 8, 2000 - (no data as we moved to Maine in late February)

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